This Higher-tier question involves combining overlapping sets.
Include everyone who belongs to at least one group.
Higher-tier probability questions often test understanding of how sets combine rather than simple arithmetic. When two preferences are given, such as pets, hobbies, or subjects, the key challenge is deciding which individuals should be included in the final count.
The phrase “likes either option” means that any individual who belongs to at least one of the two groups must be included. This includes individuals who belong to only one group as well as those who belong to both. Recognising this interpretation is essential at Higher tier.
In set language, each preference can be viewed as a set of students. The overlap represents the intersection of the two sets. The quantity required is the size of the union of these sets relative to the total group. Understanding this relationship helps prevent common mistakes.
A frequent error is to add the sizes of the two sets and stop there. This double counts the intersection. Another common error is to remove too many students by subtracting the overlap more than once. Both errors come from not clearly identifying which regions of a Venn diagram should be included.
Visualising a Venn diagram, even without drawing it, can be very helpful. Imagine two circles with an overlapping region. The correct count includes all regions inside the circles, but each region is counted only once.
Consider a different example involving product ownership. Some people may own one product, some may own another, and some may own both. If a company wants to know the probability that a randomly chosen customer owns at least one product, the same reasoning applies.
After determining the number of favourable outcomes, the probability is found by dividing by the total number of outcomes. In survey questions, the total number of people surveyed represents all possible outcomes. At Higher tier, probabilities are typically left as fractions unless another form is requested.
These questions are designed to test logical structure and interpretation. The arithmetic is straightforward once the correct structure has been identified. Writing a brief plan, such as “union = total of both − overlap”, can help organise working under exam conditions.
Mastering this type of reasoning is important not only for GCSE Maths but also for further study in statistics, computer science, and data-driven subjects where overlapping categories are common.
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