Learn how independence affects outcomes when drawing from two decks.
With two decks, identical cards can appear together.
This question focuses on identifying valid outcomes when drawing one card from each of two separate 52-card decks. Because the decks are independent and identical, the possibilities greatly expand compared to drawing two cards from the same deck. In probability, independence means the outcome of one event does not affect the outcome of the other. When two identical decks are used, every card in Deck A has a matching copy in Deck B, and each card exists once per deck. Therefore, combinations that would normally be impossible in a single-deck scenario become fully valid when using two decks.
For example, drawing the Ace of Hearts from Deck A and the Ace of Hearts from Deck B is entirely possible, because each deck contains its own Ace of Hearts. This differs from a single-deck situation, where drawing the same card twice without replacement is impossible. Higher-tier GCSE questions often test whether students can identify when duplication is or is not allowed, depending on whether replacement or independence is specified.
Let’s examine the outcomes listed:
All three combinations can genuinely occur when drawing independently from two decks.
In a single-deck situation, drawing (Ace of Hearts, Ace of Hearts) without replacement would be impossible. This contrast reinforces the importance of paying attention to the number of decks.
Each deck has 4 Queens. So favourable outcomes = 4 × 4 = 16. Total outcomes = 52 × 52 = 2704. Probability = 16/2704 = 1/169.
Deck A has 13 Hearts; Deck B has 26 red cards. So probability = (13/52) × (26/52) = 1/4.
Independent deck scenarios appear in card games, simulations, random sampling, and Monte-Carlo modelling. Independence is a foundational concept in statistics, where events must be analysed correctly based on whether one outcome influences another. Understanding how independence works in physical examples like card decks strengthens a student’s ability to interpret real data and complex probability structures.
Q: Why can the same card be drawn twice?
A: Each deck has its own copy of every card.
Q: Are the decks considered identical?
A: Yes, standard decks have the same 52 cards.
Q: Is the order important?
A: Yes. (Ace of Hearts, 2 of Spades) is different from (2 of Spades, Ace of Hearts).
When a probability question mentions “two decks”, immediately recognise that duplicated cards are possible. This small detail changes the entire structure of the outcome space and prevents incorrect assumptions.
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